Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 3.489842 4.025544 4.612467 5.302756 6.091945 6.965602 8.005712
2025-02-02 2.921000 3.667251 4.552225 5.677217 7.067438 8.727301 10.857865
2025-02-09 2.410591 3.260236 4.340124 5.809074 7.750810 10.224995 13.612299
2025-02-16 2.011794 2.909161 4.122775 5.876466 8.337392 11.658572 16.470757
2025-02-23 1.645350 2.529868 3.795999 5.729110 8.592899 12.663448 18.869988
2025-03-02 1.334142 2.171244 3.433965 5.461953 8.619132 13.323936 20.837810
2025-03-09 1.158008 1.984730 3.292626 5.491731 9.072100 14.639198 23.907356
2025-03-16 0.982578 1.768702 3.069617 5.353544 9.231643 15.506244 26.365047
2025-03-23 0.915886 1.723270 3.114619 5.653932 10.130972 17.636181 31.080492
2025-03-30 0.839878 1.648446 3.096648 5.838913 10.849102 19.534102 35.605609
2025-04-06 0.750611 1.534766 2.992602 5.852917 11.260820 20.941065 39.419751
2025-04-13 0.636442 1.355433 2.742569 5.561686 11.075158 21.261656 41.310394
2025-04-20 0.594475 1.316461 2.759608 5.792736 11.918869 23.582324 47.212354
2025-04-27 0.573061 1.316976 2.854731 6.191003 13.137183 26.740884 55.061536
2025-05-04 0.528111 1.259865 2.824413 6.328709 13.849840 29.000904 61.409214
2025-05-11 0.482472 1.193901 2.766046 6.398576 14.429011 31.055292 67.565646
2025-05-18 0.424671 1.090396 2.611244 6.236740 14.492742 32.060551 71.662989
2025-05-25 0.365863 0.974565 2.411813 5.945756 14.232629 32.348979 74.255915
2025-06-01 0.335153 0.923473 2.355354 5.977447 14.701744 34.250334 80.546279
2025-06-08 0.297374 0.847982 2.229854 5.827154 14.729096 35.176676 84.759299
2025-06-15 0.289160 0.849754 2.295017 6.152836 15.927139 38.868488 95.652155
2025-06-22 0.274881 0.832621 2.309861 6.353363 16.842544 41.998296 105.550942
2025-06-29 0.253242 0.791182 2.255750 6.368476 17.295997 44.082520 113.173521